I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.”
I can see what you’re doing right now. You’re shaking your head wildly – “No, Mike, this won’t happen!” Unfortunately, you are living in a bubble that comes with an adjoining echo chamber where you and your friends are convinced the American people are not going to elect an idiot for president. You alternate between being appalled at him and laughing at him because of his latest crazy comment or his embarrassingly narcissistic stance on everything because everything is about him. And then you listen to Hillary and you behold our very first female president, someone the world respects, someone who is whip-smart and cares about kids, who will continue the Obama legacy because that is what the American people clearly want! Yes! Four more years of this!
You need to exit that bubble right now. You need to stop living in denial and face the truth which you know deep down is very, very real. Trying to soothe yourself with the facts – “77% of the electorate are women, people of color, young adults under 35 and Trump cant win a majority of any of them!” – or logic – “people aren’t going to vote for a buffoon or against their own best interests!” – is your brain’s way of trying to protect you from trauma. Like when you hear a loud noise on the street and you think, “oh, a tire just blew out,” or, “wow, who’s playing with firecrackers?” because you don’t want to think you just heard someone being shot with a gun. It’s the same reason why all the initial news and eyewitness reports on 9/11 said “a small plane accidentally flew into the World Trade Center.” We want to – we need to – hope for the best because, frankly, life is already a shit show and it’s hard enough struggling to get by from paycheck to paycheck. We can’t handle much more bad news. So our mental state goes to default when something scary is actually, truly happening. The first people plowed down by the truck in Nice spent their final moments on earth waving at the driver whom they thought had simply lost control of his truck, trying to tell him that he jumped the curb: “Watch out!,” they shouted. “There are people on the sidewalk!”
Well, folks, this isn’t an accident. It is happening. And if you believe Hillary Clinton is going to beat Trump with facts and smarts and logic, then you obviously missed the past year of 56 primaries and caucuses where 16 Republican candidates tried that and every kitchen sink they could throw at Trump and nothing could stop his juggernaut. As of today, as things stand now, I believe this is going to happen – and in order to deal with it, I need you first to acknowledge it, and then maybe, just maybe, we can find a way out of the mess we’re in.
Moore’s logic is, unfortunately, unassailable.
As it stands right now more than a third the manufacturing jobs that disappeared before the Great Recession took place in these states: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. And those jobs haven’t come back, nor will they, Trump’s bluster aside. But these people sure want them to. And when they compare their anemic job growth with this area, they feel a profound sense of unfairness and buy into Trump’s lies.
Add to that the fact the Bernie Bros (and Bras) are (rightly) convinced Hillary gamed the Democratic nomination because “it was her turn”, and you can write off the Millennials. Bernie was the Dems last hope, and that’s been dashed. There just aren’t the votes. 1
I agree with Moore – Trump will win, probably by the margins all the pundits say Clinton will win by. I’m having a hell of a time wrapping my mind around the fact, but there it is.
I will still vote for Clinton, and urge those who are politically active to do so as well. I will probably get all irrationally exuberant as election day nears, letting my groundless optimism get the better of me, to the point I’ll claim no way Trump will win, that Clinton will sweep it all!
Should I do that, please please please point me back to this post.
But right now, right here, in the cold, logical dawn of a new day, I understand we’re in for four years of…well, who the hell knows?
I doubt even Trump does.