Vacation Redux

From this morning’s Washington Post

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) both say the government won’t shut down. But with fewer than five working days before the fiscal year ends, neither has explained how they intend to stop that from happening…

…Here are five obstacles standing in the way of the government staying open:

  1. Time. It typically takes about two days for the House, and about the same time for the Senate, to pass a bill. But, with the papal visit and observance of Jewish holidays, Congress is scheduled to be in session for fewer than five full days before Oct. 1, the day a shutdown would take effect…
  2. Presidential candidates in the Senate are angling for free air time. With the Senate’s complex procedures, all it takes is an objection from one senator to brings things to a standstill…
  3. Conservatives don’t trust leadership. When Republicans took control of the Senate in January, Boehner and McConnell promised they would overhaul the way Washington does business…
  4. The fight is no longer just about Planned Parenthood. Republicans believe the spending debate is their last chance to guarantee a policy victory this year. Even if Boehner can satisfy the defund crowd, he will still be playing a game of whack-a-mole trying to figure out what, if any, short-term spending bill can garner a GOP majority…
  5. Republicans hate Obama’s policies and want to force a veto. Republicans also know that even if they succeed in blocking funds for Planned Parenthood via a spending bill, the whole plan will end with a veto from President Obama. Frustrated conservatives want to force him to use it.

Over at Forbes they estimate the odds for a shutdown at 75%. Over Planned Parenthood (despite the ReThugs weak protestations their reasons are ‘larger.’) We tend to think the odds are better than that as of this posting, but we really want another two week paid vacation, so perhaps we’re letting that blind us to the normal reasonableness of Congress?

Nah…we didn’t think so either.

One of the more exciting parts of the imbroglio is we may soon see Boehner publicly cry for the last time – he could very easily lose his job over this. Not that we expect he will; we can easily imagine Boehner behind closed doors going down on junior ReThugs in order to save face. 1

We do wonder, however, if the ReThug base realizes this stupidity will make it nigh impossible for them to win the presidency next year. And if so will that realization cause them to put down the Kool-Ade and sober up, perhaps bringing to the fore a less irrational candidate than now leads the suicide pack.

Or, like last time, do the Cruz’s et alia double down on nothing?

Fun times. 2

Vacation Redux

Show 2 footnotes

  1. No, the irony of that is not lost on us.
  2. Though no one deigned to comment on how we should spend our upcoming vacation, we did receive many email suggestions; we’d like to note that what more than a few of you suggested is not only anatomically impossible, it’s just downright rude. Your mothers would be ashamed.

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